Events in Iran triggered a rapid increase in energy prices, exerting significant pressure on inflationary processes worldwide. A prolonged blockage of the Strait of Hormuz would have a negative impact on annual inflation indicators across all countries and on the global economy as a whole. For this reason, the National Bank of Ukraine paused the implementation of accommodative monetary policy and kept the key policy rate unchanged at 15% in March.
The regulator already expects annual inflation to increase by 0.45%, and should global oil prices continue to rise, the impact may be significantly stronger. The NBU plans to conduct a detailed analysis of the impact of energy prices on various segments of the economy in April.
Yields on domestic government bonds (OVDPs) at primary auctions declined to their lowest levels during this period in March. In particular, yields on 1-year OVDPs decreased from 15.32% to 15.15%, 2-year bonds declined to 15.85%, and 3-year bonds fell from 16.28% to 16.15%.







